iOS Continues to dominate mobile market for mobile ads, but for how long?

Most recent reports suggest that Apple's iOS continues to dominate the mobile advertising market in terms of impressions and revenue generation delivering almost 44% of all ad impressions and almost 50% of revenue (Figure 1).  The mobile market is increasingly looking like a two horse race between Apple iOS and Android and whilst on the face of it Apple continues to dominate, the decline of any alternative operating system other than Android suggests that in the near term Android will soon pass iOS as it becomes the de-facto alternative operation system.

Traffic share (mobile phone OS)

OS Share	% of Traffic	% of Revenue
Android	31.24%	28.08%
Phone	30.58%	27.76%
Tablet	0.66%	0.32%
iOS	43.75%	49.36%
IPhone	30.88%	36.44%
iPad	8.04%	10.21%
iTouch	4.83%	2.71%
RIM	3.37%	5.41%
Symbian	5.16%	1.56%
Windows	0.26%	0.30%
Other	16.21%	15.27%

Source: Opera  mediaworks

The challenge presented by Android is strengthening as Google and its partners increase the rate of innovation.  Apple is clearly showing signs of innovation fatigue.  A recent report by Goldman Sachs pointed to several concerns, including “delayed product cycles, supply chain difficulties, product price erosion, and a slower pace of product innovation.” Apple’s ability to continue innovating at the breakneck pace it maintained over the past few years remains a major concern.  The recent performance of Google Play surpassing Apple's App Store downloads particularly in emerging markets underline the direction of travel.

This rebalancing of the market suggests that in the longer term the Android market is set to become the most important mobile advertising market.

The Appscape

Here are a number of interesting facts concerning the growth of mobile marketing and in particular the App market.

• Apple Apps – 700,000 (Nov 2012)
• Android Apps – 700,000 (Nov 2012)
• Microsoft – 120,000 (Dec 2012)
• 37mins the average time spent on apps per day
• Mobile apps will grow from a $6 billion industry today to $55.7 billion industry by 2015 (Forrester)
• The average Android smartphone user has downloaded 44 apps onto their phone
• 53% of American cellphone users now have a smartphone
• 38% of people who use social media on mobile devices cite general browsing as their main activity

The rapid growth of Android apps is very impressive, having caught up with Apple so quickly and will undoubtedly pass Apple in 2013.  The fact that Apple apply rigid "quality control" as to which apps make it on to the iPhone and Google pretty much set a minimum compliance approach cannot be the only reason Android has blossomed since Microsoft has failed to grow in quite the same way.  Apple need to decide whether they are going to carry denying other smartphone users the chance to use the Apple IOS and ultimately see the market they have owned slowly (or maybe not so slowly) eroded by Android as they did twenty years ago during the PC wars.

iPhone 5 Decline in face Samsung Challenge?

Sales of the iPhone 5 appear to be slowing dramatically in the UK and around the world. In what seems like a bid to drum up sales, for the first time I can recall, my mobile provider is making unsolicited calls to remind that I am due an upgrade and have the opportunity of getting my hands on an iPhone 5 as part of my package.  Previous it appeared I needed to be best friends with the chairman of the mobile operator to get such an offer.   Furthermore, according to the Wall Street Journal, Apple has cut an iPhone 5 display manufacturing order by half citing "weaker-than-expected demand." The display order, which was targeted for the January to March quarter, was cut along with other key component manufacturing in December.

Given the crowded marketplace that the smartphone arena has become, it is only good business that there should be changes to manufacturing orders.  However, this data seems to confirm that globally, Samsung is beginning to get the upper hand in sales of smartphones in head-on competition with Apple.  With 1.3 billion smartphones in use worldwide by end of 2012 and 465 million Android smartphones sold in 2012. Google’s operating system has now captured a 66% global market share.  Samsung has used the Android OS to drive sales with their latest smartphone the Galaxy SIII with shipments estimated to be 18 million units for the third quarter of 2012, while smartphone and overall mobile device shipments are projected at 59 million and 106 million units respectively.

Apple is rumoured to be accelerating the launch of the iPhone 6 to combat this growing Korean threat and thus it is of little surprise that they are ramping down iPhone 5 production to make way for a newer model.  Clearly being sued by Apple is good commercial business for Samsung since it has crystallized the belief that the once mighty Apple may have a worthy competitor in the form of Samsung.  Litigation can have unexpected consequences and certainly it seems it may be the case that Apples lawyers are better at marketing Samsung's products than helping their own side win.

Google Android paid for apps opens in the UK

Paid for applications will be available to UK Android owners from today, T-Mobile has announced.

For the first time, Android developers will be able to set their own prices for their apps. Previously, only free apps could be made available through the Android Market app store.

Speaking at an Android developer event, Regan Whitehead, mobile internet category manager at T-Mobile UK, said: "When users click on the Android Marketplace icon in the morning there will be a wide selection of paid apps on the market," including offerings from EA Sports and Activision.

Content on the Android Market is rated by users - in a similar fashion to YouTube - so developers who slap a high price tag on their app risk pricing it out of the market, according to Richard Warmsley, head of entertainment and internet at T-Mobile UK.

The store is like "eBay - developers are posting up their apps, they're setting the price, customers are rating independently and choosing what they want to have so it's an open market approach," he said.

The widespread interest in the potential of application marketplaces is hardly surprising, since  Apple revealed last year that it earned $30m in sales of iPhone apps in the first month after launching the App Store.

According to Maani Safa, head of mobile at The Telegraph Media Group, the newspaper's app - which was initially launched on Android - took about four times as long to port it over to the iPhone.

"Apple just make you jump through hoops," he claimed.

Because of these hoops, Safa said the company is "using Android as a trailblazer" - any app it creates will be launched first on Android and then ported over to other platforms because of the difficulties he had working with Apple

"Say you have a commercial deal in place and you want an application to go live on day X with an Android version. You create the application, you click on publish and literally within 10 seconds it's live in the application store, you call up the commercial partner and you tell them it's live ready to go. With the Apple version, you tell them it's date X - it gets to four days before, [Apple] gives you a call and says 'oh, by the way it's not going to go live for another two weeks'. 'Why?' 'It just isn't'."

There are currently more than 1,000 free apps available for Android.

T-Mobile's Warmsley said the top 10 apps downloaded on the G1 since its October 2008 launch are The Weather Channel, MySpace Mobile, ShopSavvy, Daily Horoscope, Free Dictionary Org, Ringdroid, Backgrounds, Barcode Scanner and Save MMS.

Currently, the G1 is only one model of Android phone is available in the UK and is exclusive to T-Mobile. Vodafone has just announced last month that they will begin shipping the HTC Magic Android compatible phone shortly. The phone will be available in the UK, Spain, France, and Germany.  

As regards the G1, T-Mobile's Warmsley said he was unable to put a figure on the number sold in the UK to date, but said that while "it's not a million", in a typical week T-Mobile's current sales rate of the G1 is 70 per cent of the iPhone's sales rate. O2 claims to have shipped more than a million iPhones in the UK.

The typical G1 user is a 32-year-old male, likely to be living in London or the South East - although there are also G1 'hotspots' in Leicester and Nottingham, according to Warmsley.

Additional Reporting from Silicon.com

The Kindle 2 – is it a sequel worth reading?

This morning Amazon announced its second-generation ebook, the Kindle 2.

The new Kindle 2 is lighter (well its 3 grams lighter!), is a more contemporary design and it can now hold approximately 1,500 books.  This is many times larger than the original 200 titles of the original Kindle and there are up to 230,000 titles to choose from the Amazon Kindle Shop.

The most interesting development is the new Text to Speech feature which can read any book to you in one of three speech rates, and in either a male or female voice.

Sadly the Kindle 2 is still only available in the US.  Over here we just have the Sony Reader eBook which can have just 160 books and is exclusive to Waterstones or the iRex Iliad which at £449 is a great incentive to continue to buy the “real” thing.

So when will we see the Kindle 2 in the UK?  It is suggested that the problem lies with tying up deals with mobile operators or maybe it’s a problem of translating all those 230,000 titles from American into the Queen’s English.  Whatever the reason, when it eventually arrives the ebook will become a definite “must have”.  Interestingly, Google is also reported to be offering a browser tool running on Android, Google’s mobile OS, that allows you to read books via your Android enable mobile.  It can’t be long before a Android enable ebook emerges, then the ebook market will be a little more dramatic.

Are you on your way to work or still in bed?

Today Google is introducing a new mobile widget to let you broadcast your location to select friends, family, and colleagues based on the coordinates of your mobile phone (via GPS or otherwise).  GPS enable mobiles are becoming increasingly popular and this sounds like a great new application. Google Mobile Maps new application is called Google Latitude and will enable you to let whoever you wish to know precisely where you are at any moment in time.

Now that is fine from a social perspective, but how long will it be before that company phone has the feature enable and your boss can track your every movement.  No more saying you are stuck in snow at the station when you are really taking a day off in bed!

Don’t feel like being tracked? Well you can just hide yourself from select “friends,” or manually enter a false location as your current one. This might arise certain suspicion on the part of you boss or partner though.

Still I think for most people it will be a fun new application.  You can download it from your mobile browser at google.com/latitude and start to encourage your friends to do likewise.  Latitude will work in 27 countries including the UK and most major European countries on Blackberries, Windows Mobile, and Nokia S60s. Android will begin rolling out over the next week, and an iPhone app is coming soon.  You can add it to your PC or Laptop to.  Another great application for the “mobility” to log into.